Understanding decision‑making variability in spine surgery

BY DR VINÍCIUS LOPES FRUET

Understanding decision‑making variability in spine surgery: practical insights from an ongoing AO Spine research initiative

Decision‑making in degenerative spine surgery is often more complex than the pathology itself. In many clinical scenarios—particularly lumbar stenosis without neurological deficit, stable degenerative spondylolisthesis, cervical radiculopathy without weakness, and early adult spinal deformity—surgeons face situations where imaging findings do not dictate a single clear intervention. Two experienced surgeons may therefore provide two different treatment plans for the same patient, both well‑reasoned and technically sound. During my AO Spine Fellowship at Hospital Universitário Cajuru, under the mentorship of Dr Emiliano Vialle and Dr Luiz Vialle, this variability became apparent daily.

The academic atmosphere of the fellowship, which was rich in case discussions, surgical planning sessions, and collaborative reflection, created a setting to question why decisions differ and how these differences can be better understood. This resulted in my involvement in a multi‑center AO Spine research initiative specifically designed to explore decision‑making patterns in degenerative spine disease.

The study remains ongoing, but participating in it has already produced important takeaways. These insights are applicable not only to research but to everyday clinical practice, where decision clarity, communication, and consistency directly affect patient outcomes and trust.

Visit the AO Spine Fellowship page or the AO LATAM Fellowships page for information on the next open call for applications, selection criteria, application process, and stipends. Additional opportunities are available exclusively for AO Spine Latin America members.

  • Read the quick summary:
    • Dr Vinícius Lopes Fruet describes how his AO Spine Fellowship revealed the complexity and variability of decision‑making in degenerative spine surgery.
    • Variability arises from differences in diagnostic interpretation, thresholds for surgery, and operative strategy, especially in borderline or non‑deficit cases.
    • Surgeons can benefit from structured diagnostic methods, clearer communication, functional‑based indication assessment, and collaborative case discussions.
    • Ongoing AO Spine research continues to analyze why decisions diverge and how understanding these patterns can improve clinical clarity and patient communication.
       

Disclaimer: The article represents the opinion of individual authors exclusively and not necessarily the opinion of AO or its clinical specialties.


 

Decision‑making variability as a clinical reality

In degenerative spine surgery, variability often arises not from disagreement about anatomy but from differences in clinical interpretation. This is particularly true in conditions where symptoms are subjective, fluctuate over time, or overlap with age‑related degeneration.

Across discussions during my fellowship, it became clear that variability is rooted not in inconsistency, but in complexity. Surgeons weigh different aspects of a case—pain severity, functional limitation, radiological detail, patient expectations, risk tolerance, and long‑term prognosis. Individually, these considerations are reasonable, but collectively they create a spectrum of valid approaches. 

 

What the research is revealing about diagnostic reasoning

One of the most valuable insights emerging from the project is the degree to which surgeons differ at the very first step: diagnosing and classifying the case. Even small differences in interpreting MRI imaging can set divergent pathways. For instance, attributing a patient’s primary complaint to lateral recess stenosis versus foraminal stenosis often leads to different surgical choices. Similarly, the interpretation of degenerative spondylolisthesis stability varies depending on how surgeons weigh upright radiographs, flexion, extension films, and clinical history.

What we found reinforces that these differences occur even among experienced surgeons when confronted with border‑zone cases. Recognizing this encourages a more structured and transparent diagnostic process. Correlating symptoms with specific imaging features and using consistent grading scales reduces unnecessary variability and improves communication, especially when multiple professionals are involved in care.

 

Insights into determining surgical indication

A second key takeaway relates to the threshold for surgery. Surgeons often reach different conclusions about whether a patient should proceed to operative treatment, particularly in cases without neurological deficit. During my fellowship, this was one of the most common points of discussion in complex degenerative cases. Some surgeons prioritize alleviating functional limitations early; others prefer extending conservative management to observe symptom evolution.

The research project reinforces that indication decisions are deeply influenced by how surgeons interpret the balance between symptoms and structural findings. Conditions such as lumbar stenosis without weakness or stable Grade I degenerative spondylolisthesis are especially susceptible to interpretation differences. Understanding this helps surgeons better articulate to patients why multiple care pathways may both be acceptable.

A practical clinical insight is the value of explicitly separating two key questions: “Can surgery help?” and “Is surgery necessary now?” Patients often benefit from hearing these distinctions clearly, as this depicts variability as flexibility tailored to their goals and expectations and not as confusion.

 

Understanding variability in operative strategy

A third important outcome of the research involves differences in operative strategy even when indication is shared. In everyday practice, surgeons may agree that a patient needs surgery yet propose different techniques. This is strikingly common in degenerative spondylolisthesis, where decompression alone, decompression with fusion, anterior approaches, MIS techniques, or multi‑level interventions may all be justifiable depending on the surgeon’s philosophy and experience. Evidence comparing decompression alone with fusion in stable spondylolisthesis reflects similar debates.

Variability in surgical strategy often disappears once reasoning is articulated. When surgeons explain their goals, whether symptom relief, mechanical stability, or prevention of future degeneration, apparent differences become understandable variations grounded in clinical priorities.

 

Early patterns that clinicians should be aware of

Although the study remains ongoing, early tendencies align closely with what surgeons' experience in practice. There is strong agreement in cases where structural pathology clearly drives symptoms, such as instability with neurological deficit. In contrast, cases without objective deficit, with ambiguous imaging findings, or with symptoms exceeding radiological severity show far greater divergence.
This includes lumbar stenosis without weakness, stable degenerative spondylolisthesis, cervical radiculopathy without motor impairment, and mild deformity with axial pain as the predominant complaint. These patterns reflect the areas where decision‑making requires the greatest nuance and where communication with the patient becomes especially important.

Understanding these tendencies does not eliminate variability, but it contextualizes it. Recognizing that decisions naturally diverge in these conditions helps us refine the diagnostic process, calibrate expectations, and have more balanced and transparent conversations.

 

Practical takeaways for improving clinical decision‑making

Decision‑making variability is an inherent part of spine surgery, particularly in degenerative conditions where symptoms and imaging do not point to a single definitive solution. 

Diagnostic consistency improves when surgeons use structured interpretation methods, correlating specific symptoms with well‑defined radiological findings, and applying standardized grading scales. This minimizes subjective variation and improves inter‑surgeon communication.

Treatment indication benefits from a more explicit analysis of functional impairment. Identifying whether a patient’s primary limitation stems from neurological compromise, mechanical pain, or activity‑induced symptoms often clarifies the pathway forward. 

Surgeons can enhance patient understanding by openly acknowledging when multiple reasonable approaches exist. This way variability comes across as personalized care rather than inconsistency.
Collaborative case discussions, on platforms such as myAO 2.0, remain an effective way to align reasoning among surgeons. These discussions reveal assumptions, expose diverse perspectives, and ultimately refine the final plan.

Finally, a stability‑based approach to degenerative spondylolisthesis can reduce variability. Decompression alone may be appropriate for stable cases, while evidence supports fusion when instability, foraminal compromise, or sagittal imbalance are present.

Together, these takeaways strengthen the decision‑making process even before the study reaches completion.

 

About the authors:

My name is Vinícius Lopes Fruet, and I am an orthopedic surgeon with a focus in spine surgery. I graduated from the University of Caxias do Sul in 2019. In 2020, I served as a Medical Officer in the Brazilian Air Force. 

I completed my residency in Orthopedics and Traumatology at Hospital Pompéia, in Caxias do Sul, from 2021 to 2023. During this time, I built a solid foundation in musculoskeletal medicine and developed a particular interest in spinal disorders, which guided my decision to pursue further specialization in this field. 

I completed the AO Spine Long-Term Fellowship in Spine Surgery (2024–2026) at Hospital Universitário Cajuru, in Curitiba, under the supervision of Dr Emiliano Vialle and Dr Luiz Vialle. In 2025, I also completed the AO Spine Continuing Education Program (Lato Sensu), which further strengthened my academic and clinical training. 

My main interests include degenerative spine diseases and surgical decision-making, with a focus on applying evidence-based medicine to improve patient outcomes.

 

Acknowledgements:

I express my sincere gratitude to Dr Emiliano Vialle for his leadership, dedication, and constant encouragement of academic development. His ability to guide and motivate scientific production reflects his commitment to training future leaders in spine surgery. I also thank Dr Marcelo Molina Salinas for his exemplary mentorship and decisive contribution to the success of our project.

I am also grateful to my colleagues, Dr Otávio Vitório Alvarenga Pereira and Dr João Victor Pompeu Smarczewski, whose collaboration and support were essential throughout this process. Research is, above all, a collective effort, and working alongside committed colleagues made this experience even more meaningful.

Further reading:

As part of this research initiative, we developed three complementary studies that explored different dimensions of surgical decision-making in degenerative spondylolisthesis.

The first study, “Surgeon Preference as a Key Factor in Decision Making in Degenerative Spondylolisthesis,” evaluated the influence of individual surgeon preference on treatment selection. The findings demonstrated that, beyond clinical and radiological parameters, personal experience and interpretation play a significant role in determining the chosen surgical approach. This highlights that decision-making is not purely objective and that variability may arise even among experienced surgeons.

The second study, “Radiological Variables Influencing Surgical Decision in Degenerative Spondylolisthesis: A Survey Amongst Latin American Spine Surgeons,” focused on the role of imaging in surgical planning. Radiological evaluation is a cornerstone of spine surgery, yet the relative importance of different parameters varies among surgeons. This study provided insight into which radiological variables are most commonly used and how their interpretation influences treatment decisions. It also reinforced the idea that differences in imaging interpretation can lead to different, yet reasonable, clinical pathways.

The third study, “Variability in Surgical Decision-Making for Degenerative Spondylolisthesis in Latin America: A Clinical Scenario-Based Analysis,” examined how surgeons respond to standardized clinical cases. By presenting identical scenarios to multiple surgeons, it was possible to assess the degree of agreement in diagnosis and treatment planning. The results demonstrated a significant level of variability, particularly in cases without clear neurological deficits or with borderline radiological findings. This variability reflects the complexity inherent to spine surgery rather than inconsistency or lack of knowledge.

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